Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.167463 0.194113 0.223642 0.258790 0.299500 0.345183 0.400365
2025-06-29 0.122832 0.157679 0.200373 0.256553 0.328600 0.418002 0.537552
2025-07-06 0.100426 0.138300 0.188023 0.258136 0.354603 0.482909 0.666987
2025-07-13 0.088824 0.129543 0.186106 0.270505 0.393500 0.566651 0.829811
2025-07-20 0.079205 0.121392 0.182928 0.279357 0.427064 0.645501 0.994525
2025-07-27 0.071467 0.114501 0.180077 0.287440 0.459400 0.725169 1.169311
2025-08-03 0.063937 0.106663 0.174414 0.289863 0.482458 0.792344 1.331885
2025-08-10 0.056566 0.097958 0.166050 0.286451 0.495013 0.843321 1.473218
2025-08-17 0.049360 0.088509 0.155158 0.277145 0.496013 0.874466 1.583593
2025-08-24 0.045811 0.084900 0.153644 0.283651 0.524815 0.955803 1.791027
2025-08-31 0.041920 0.080154 0.149492 0.284748 0.543699 1.021160 1.976464
2025-09-07 0.038996 0.076816 0.147445 0.289351 0.569346 1.101240 2.198412
2025-09-14 0.034932 0.070876 0.139987 0.282988 0.573729 1.142676 2.352473
2025-09-21 0.031773 0.066354 0.134760 0.280424 0.585372 1.199665 2.545223
2025-09-28 0.029437 0.063208 0.131864 0.282158 0.605801 1.276222 2.787361
2025-10-05 0.028472 0.062809 0.134492 0.295685 0.652439 1.411778 3.171636
2025-10-12 0.027217 0.061622 0.135311 0.305366 0.691818 1.536202 3.546482
2025-10-19 0.025985 0.060333 0.135747 0.314206 0.730282 1.662771 3.941430
2025-10-26 0.024375 0.057988 0.133580 0.316856 0.754885 1.760987 4.282349
2025-11-02 0.022458 0.054701 0.128913 0.313125 0.764081 1.824814 4.548881
2025-11-09 0.020302 0.050592 0.121890 0.302946 0.756605 1.848583 4.720170
2025-11-16 0.019433 0.049527 0.121955 0.310062 0.792342 1.979961 5.177120
2025-11-23 0.018279 0.047616 0.119758 0.311262 0.813336 2.077372 5.558694